5 Million People Killed by COVID in Less Than Two Years

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(02 November 2021) The COVID-19 pandemic, which has caused the deepest recession in the global economy since the end of the WWII, is far from over. In this dashboard, based on latest COVID data, we visualize key statistical facts and correlations on the pandemic to date. 

  • Global COVID-19 waves since the start of 2021 have had consistent periodicity — four months between peaks. Assuming the four-month pattern continues, the next peak in COVID cases and deaths can be expected at the end of December 2021. The latest global COVID wave, which peaked in the end of August, indicated that the time lag between the increases in number of infected people and number of deaths observed in earlier waves has almost disappeared, likely due to the faster progression of the now-predominant Delta variant.
  • The vaccination threshold that reduces the number of COVID deaths to less than 3 new deaths per day per million population stands at 140 per hundred population, which is roughly an equivalent of 70% of a population fully vaccinated (since most of the vaccines require two doses for full protection).
  • Progress in vaccination in emerging and developing countries is slower than in developed countries. Most developed countries have already reached the threshold of possible herd immunity, when 70% of population are fully vaccinated or infected. In all major emerging economies except China the share of the population that is fully vaccinated or have been infected is still below 70%.
  • Raw data doesn't confirm the hypothesis that the level of economic development predetermines the progress in pandemic contamination. Unexpectedly, COVID death rates in many low-income countries are much lower compared to developed economies. However, it is important to keep in mind that the difference in approaches to counting COVID cases and deaths across countries as well as unequal COVID test availability and uneven vaccination progress at the subnational level can distort cross-country comparisons.

Coronavirus Data and Insights

Live data and insights on Coronavirus around the world, including detailed statistics for the US, EU, and China — confirmed and recovered cases, deaths, alternative data on economic activities, customer behavior, supply chains, and more.

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