Statistics Greenland

Population forecast 2018 - 2050Operator:larp@KNNOFor more information see: www.stat.gl/BEE201804/O1timeWarning: Notice the calculations are far more uncertain compared to similar calculations on larger populations.

1) 1901-30: Natives. 1945-51: Persons under greenlandic jurisdiction. 2) North Greenland, in 1930 this was 271 persons, all born in Greenland. 3) the large fluctuations in the population growth is caused by technical factors at registration. 4) From 1966 and on the civil part of the population in Kangerlussuaq (Sdr. Strømfjord). Hereby 579 persons was counted as part of the, greenlandic population, all but 5 born outside Greenland.

Population forecast 2018 - annual change

Population forecast by birth cohorts 2018 - 2050Operator:larp@KNNOFor more information see: www.stat.gl/BEE201804/O1timeWarning: Notice the calculations are far more uncertain compared to similar calculations on larger populations.

versionForecast 2015August 16th 2016. We have a problem with base data for the 2015-projections. Please use the 2016 versionversionForecast 2014FertilitetForecast 2014Samlet fertilitet:2.164 faldende over 10 år mod 2.067Forecast 2014DødelighedDødelighed beregnes udfra erfaringer i følgende år: 2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 Middellevetid mænd:68,73 Middellevetid kvinder:73,57 Den årlige ændring i dødelighedsniveau antages at stige over 25 år for derefter at holde sig konstant.Forecast 2014Vandringer Antal år:10 (2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013)Forecast 2014Kujalleq: Antal indvandrede ialt:2197:Mænd:1214:Kvinder:983 Antal udvandrede ialt:2944:Mænd:1606:Kvinder:1338 Antal nettoindvandrede ialt:-747:Mænd:-392:Kvinder:-355 Antal nettoindvandrede pr år:-74,70:Mænd:-39,20:Kvinder:-35,50Forecast 2014Sermersooq: Antal indvandrede ialt:12123:Mænd:6549:Kvinder:5574 Antal udvandrede ialt:14104:Mænd:7500:Kvinder:6604 Antal nettoindvandrede ialt:-1981:Mænd:-951:Kvinder:-1030 Antal nettoindvandrede pr år:-198,10:Mænd:-95,10:Kvinder:-103,00Forecast 2014Qeqqata: Antal indvandrede ialt:3393:Mænd:1887:Kvinder:1506 Antal udvandrede ialt:4144:Mænd:2287:Kvinder:1857 Antal nettoindvandrede ialt:-751:Mænd:-400:Kvinder:-351 Antal nettoindvandrede pr år:-75,10:Mænd:-40,00:Kvinder:-35,10Forecast 2014Qaasuitsup: Antal indvandrede ialt:4393:Mænd:2355:Kvinder:2038 Antal udvandrede ialt:5066:Mænd:2731:Kvinder:2335 Antal nettoindvandrede ialt:-673:Mænd:-376:Kvinder:-297 Antal nettoindvandrede pr år:-67,30:Mænd:-37,60:Kvinder:-29,70Forecast 2014FlytningerForecast 2014Antal år:10 (2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013)Forecast 2014Kujalleq: Antal tilflyttede ialt:12288:Mænd:6238:Kvinder:6050 Antal fraflyttede ialt:12557:Mænd:6290:Kvinder:6267 Antal nettotilflyttede ialt:-269:Mænd:-52:Kvinder:-217 Antal nettotilflyttede pr år:-26,90:Mænd:-5,20:Kvinder:-21,70Forecast 2014Sermersooq: Antal tilflyttede ialt:23009:Mænd:11684:Kvinder:11325 Antal fraflyttede ialt:20615:Mænd:10445:Kvinder:10170 Antal nettotilflyttede ialt:2394:Mænd:1239:Kvinder:1155 Antal nettotilflyttede pr år:239,40:Mænd:123,90:Kvinder:115,50Forecast 2014Qeqqata: Antal tilflyttede ialt:12659:Mænd:6551:Kvinder:6108 Antal fraflyttede ialt:12749:Mænd:6578:Kvinder:6171 Antal nettotilflyttede ialt:-90:Mænd:-27:Kvinder:-63 Antal nettotilflyttede pr år:-9,00:Mænd:-2,70:Kvinder:-6,30Forecast 2014Qaasuitsup: Antal tilflyttede ialt:24882:Mænd:12528:Kvinder:12354 Antal fraflyttede ialt:26555:Mænd:13356:Kvinder:13199 Antal nettotilflyttede ialt:-1673:Mænd:-828:Kvinder:-845 Antal nettotilflyttede pr år:-167,30:Mænd:-82,80:Kvinder:-84,50Forecast 2015FertilityForecast 2015Base years: 2010,2011,2012,2013,2014Forecast 2015Total fertility: going down from: Samlet fertilitet: to: 2089,6(index=100)Forecast 2015Kujalleq going down from : Kujalleq to: 2298(index=2196,8) Sermersooq going down from : Sermersooq to: 1943(index=1857,5) Qeqqata going down from : Qeqqata to: 2112(index=2019,15) Qaasuitsup going down from : Qaasuitsup to: 2173(index=2077,4)Forecast 2015Mortality base years: 2010,2011,2012,2013,2014Forecast 2015Life expectancy (males) going down from: 69,08 to: 74,23 Life expectancy (females) going down from: 73,71 to: 78,35Forecast 2015Migration Base years:10 (2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014)Forecast 2015Kujalleq:Forecast 2015Immirants total:2157, men: 1190 and women: 967 Emmigrants total:2905, men: 1590 and women: 1315 Total netmigration-748, men: -400 and women: -348 Total netmigration pr year-74,8, men: -40 and women: -34,8Forecast 2015Sermersooq:Forecast 2015Immirants total:12150, men: 6531 and women: 5619 Emmigrants total:14163, men: 7477 and women: 6686 Total netmigration-2013, men: -946 and women: -1067 Total netmigration pr year-201,3, men: -94,6 and women: -106,7Forecast 2015Qeqqata:Forecast 2015Immirants total:3284, men: 1817 and women: 1467 Emmigrants total:4147, men: 2254 and women: 1893 Total netmigration-863, men: -437 and women: -426 Total netmigration pr year-86,3, men: -43,7 and women: -42,6Forecast 2015Qaasuitsup:Forecast 2015Immirants total:4335, men: 2349 and women: 1986Forecast 2015Emmigrants total:5131, men: 2755 and women: 2376 Total netmigration-796, men: -406 and women: -390 Total netmigration pr year-79,6, men: -40,6 and women: -39Forecast 2015Internal migrationForecast 2015Base years:10 (2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014)Forecast 2015Kujalleq:Forecast 2015Inmovers total:12292, men: 6318 and women: 5974 Outmovers total:12620, men: 6389 and women: 6231 Total netmovers-328, men: -71 and women: -257 Total netmovers pr year-32,8, men: -7,1 and women: -25,7Forecast 2015Sermersooq:Forecast 2015Inmovers total:23401, men: 11862 and women: 11539 Outmovers total:21012, men: 10639 and women: 10373 Total netmovers2389, men: 1223 and women: 1166 Total netmovers pr year238,9, men: 122,3 and women: 116,6Forecast 2015Qeqqata:Forecast 2015Inmovers total:12834, men: 6667 and women: 6167 Outmovers total:12871, men: 6634 and women: 6237 Total netmovers-37, men: 33 and women: -70 Total netmovers pr year-3,7, men: 3,3 and women: -7Forecast 2015Qaasuitsup:Forecast 2015Inmovers total:25541, men: 12842 and women: 12699 Outmovers total:27123, men: 13615 and women: 13508 Total netmovers-1582, men: -773 and women: -809 Total netmovers pr year-158,2, men: -77,3 and women: -80,9Forecast 2016Fertility base years 2011,2012,2013,2014,2015 Total fertility: up from: 2063 to: 2132,945(index=100) Kujalleq up from: 2371 to: 2451,35(index=100) Sermersooq going up from : 1898 to: 1962(index=1962,3) Qeqqata going up from : 2085 to: 2156(index=2155,65) Qaasuitsup going up from : 2187 to: 2261(index=2261,15)Forecast 2016Mortality base years 2011,2012,2013,2014,2015 Life expectancy (males) going up from: 69,8184651071646 to: 74,7847899511726 Life expectancy (females) going up from: 74,184762038009 to: 78,7714399110524Forecast 2016 Migration Base years:10 (2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015)Forecast 2016Kujalleq: Immirants total:2107, men: 1163 and women: 944 Emmigrants total:2867, men: 1556 and women: 1311 Total netmigration-760, men: -393 and women: -367 Total netmigration pr year-76, men: -39,3 and women: -36,7Forecast 2016Sermersooq: Immirants total:12113, men: 6500 and women: 5613 Emmigrants total:14146, men: 7395 and women: 6751 Total netmigration-2033, men: -895 and women: -1138 Total netmigration pr year-203,3, men: -89,5 and women: -113,8Forecast 2016Qeqqata: Immirants total:3235, men: 1798 and women: 1437 Emmigrants total:4065, men: 2212 and women: 1853 Total netmigration-830, men: -414 and women: -416 Total netmigration pr year-83, men: -41,4 and women: -41,6Forecast 2016Qaasuitsup: Immirants total:4305, men: 2328 and women: 1977 Emmigrants total:5181, men: 2736 and women: 2445 Total netmigration-876, men: -408 and women: -468 Total netmigration pr year-87,6, men: -40,8 and women: -46,8Forecast 2016Internal migrationForecast 2016Base years:10 (2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015)Forecast 2016Kujalleq: Inmovers total:11997, men: 6049 and women: 5948 Outmovers total:12380, men: 6148 and women: 6232 Total netmovers-383, men: -99 and women: -284 Total netmovers pr year-38,3, men: -9,9 and women: -28,4Forecast 2016Sermersooq: Inmovers total:23342, men: 11755 and women: 11587 Outmovers total:20841, men: 10434 and women: 10407 Total netmovers2501, men: 1321 and women: 1180 Total netmovers pr year250,1, men: 132,1 and women: 118Forecast 2016Qeqqata: Inmovers total:12765, men: 6517 and women: 6248 Outmovers total:12820, men: 6498 and women: 6322 Total netmovers-55, men: 19 and women: -74 Total netmovers pr year-5,5, men: 1,9 and women: -7,4Forecast 2016Qaasuitsup: Inmovers total:26109, men: 12983 and women: 13126 Outmovers total:27642, men: 13731 and women: 13911 Total netmovers-1533, men: -748 and women: -785 Total netmovers pr year-153,3, men: -74,8 and women: -78,5